Betfair Lay the Draw at Kick-Off Trading Strategy | Betfair Trading Community

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Betfair Lay the Draw at Kick-Off Trading Strategy

Betfair Lay the Draw at Kick-Off Trading Strategy

Martin's picture
Jul 09, 2020

Before following any football strategy please familiarise yourself with this essential how to guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

Video walkthrough here: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/content/lay-draw-kick

You can view this filter and the selections daily on the Football Software 'Profitable Members Filters' section.

The rules:

Lay the draw at Kick Off

When to trade out:

Green up if a goal is scored by the favourite.

If underdog scores green up if you can take a nice profit or stay in until have a profit, at 70 mins trade out regardless.

If drawing at 68-70mins and odds are 2.0 back the draw and just take the loss.

Notes:

This strategy has been a consitent performer for us for many years now.

During recent further testing there was a 88% win rate with a goal before 70mins. 

Remember: 

Although liability will look high at kick-off we are never risking anywhere near that full stake, we always exit at 70 mins if a goal is not scored before that.

Results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vNaoVpiYwiR79wrw0FQbCxu-IF62SiPi...

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